Auburn-Ole Miss is a CFP Must Win
This Saturday evening, the 6-1 Auburn Tigers will visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium and take on the 7-1 Ole Miss Rebels in a showdown of two top-10 nationally ranked teams. Auburn is currently the 3rd ranked team in the nation and Ole Miss is the 4th ranked team
Tickets to this Saturday’s game are remarkably cheap with a current median price for Auburn vs. Ole Miss tickets purchased at $108. The average price on the secondary market for tickets still available is $267, less than half of the current price for Egg Bowl tickets which currently have an average price of $590. Nonetheless, it is much more expensive than the other home game remaining on the Ole Miss schedule – the November 8th meeting with Presbyterian. For that matchup, the average price of available tickets is just $60.
Fans who are willing to pay that $108 price tag could be in for quite a treat as both Auburn and Ole Miss boast two of the best teams in the country. As mentioned above, the Rebels were undefeated until falling to LSU this past Saturday with their most impressive win coming against Alabama a little less than a month ago. Auburn has wins against LSU and Kansas State on their resume and their lone loss occurred at Mississippi State a little more than two weeks ago.
This game has major implications in the first year of the College Football Playoffs. If Ole Miss can pull off the victory, they’ll have a home game with Presbyterian and a road date with Arkansas leading up to the Egg Bowl when they face in-state rival Mississippi State. So chances are strong that they will be able to enter the Egg Bowl with a 10-1 record if they are victorious Saturday evening. With a loss, it would almost assuredly end their chances of reaching the Playoffs since they will be stuck at two losses and would need an Egg Bowl win and additional help (at least one loss from Alabama, Auburn, LSU, and Mississippi State and potentially even more help) to have any realistic chance of winning the SEC West.
The situation is much direr for Auburn as they have remaining road trips to Georgia and Alabama with home dates against Texas A&M and Samford sandwiched in between. If Auburn falls to Ole Miss, they would still be able to beat Alabama, but would not hold the tiebreaker against either of the two Mississippi teams, putting their playoff hopes in a very delicate position.
This will be the first game of the season that Auburns enters as an underdog with Ole Miss currently a three point favorite. The Tigers may be perceived as a better team than they actually are as they’ve failed to cover the spread in four of their past five games. They were 2.5 point favorites over Mississippi State, a game they ultimately lost by 15 but trailed by multiple scores almost the entirety of the game. And they won last week’s contest over South Carolina by seven but were favored by close to three touchdowns. Auburn will need to play much tighter defensively this week if they hope to over that three point spread and leave Oxford, Mississippi with a victory.